UCL bets

Zagreb’s stats are horrendous but they deserve hcap backing at Porto. Taken full squad to Portugal & Porto W0 last 15 Euro games by 2+ goals.  Zagreb failed to net in 8 of last 10 #UCL games & L12 D1 last 13 in#UCL. L10 on trot. Porto W4 D2 last 6 #UCL games with 5 clean sheets.

With Zlatan back PSG appeal. He’s 7 goals & 8 assists in last 12#UCL games. PSG need a point to qualify. Kiev W1 D3 L5 last 9#UCL games.  Kiev unbeaten in 11 home Euro games (W5 D6) but form this season been poor. Suffered 5th league loss at weekend. PSG rightly favourites.

Arsenal W12 D2 last 14 home #UCL games before loss to Schalke & only leaked 18 in 30 home #UCL games (16 clean sheets) but I’m on BTTS.  Arsenal just 1 clean sheet in 14. BTTS banked in Montpellier’s last 5 & netted in 4/4 in #UCL.4/4 went O2.5 too & they’ve taken full squad.  Arsenal should win & be a few goals. They’ve hit 25 in 9 home games. Montpellier only 4W all season & W1 D4 L7 last 12 Euro games.

I’d also expect Schalke to win in a goal-heavy game. Only 1 clean sheet in 11 home Euro games but W10 D5 last 15 home Euro group games.  Olympiakos W6 L7 last 13 #UCL but W4 D10 L44 last 58 away #UCLgames. Flying domestically & scored 2+ in last 7 inc 6 in 3 #UCLgames.

Anderlecht W2 D5 L16 last 23 #UCL games & although W5 on trot & W12/14 at home, Milan are showing enough balls to avoid defeat.  Milan L1/5 now & El Sharaway starring. Anderlecht scored 1 in 4#UCL games & starved of creativity. Although stats suggest could be goals.  8/14 Anderlecht home games gone O2.5. 4 Milan’s last 5 have as have 7/9 away games. 6/9 went O3.5. Milan not kept a clean sheet in 5 either.

As much as I love Dortmund, I think the move for them has gone far enough. Yes 8 unbeaten away (scoring 13 in last 5 away) & only L2 away.  But Ajax only 1L in 9 & Ajax W15 D1 in 16 games against German opposition. Dortmund D4 L3 last 7 away in Europe. Ajax double chance for me.

Man City W25 D10 L1 of 36 home Euro games & never lost to an overseas team but can’t find any confidence to back them v Real tonight.  Real 1 clean sheet in 10 #UCL games & 1 in 5 away so rather back goals. 9 last 10 Real games in #UCL gone O2.5. 3/4 City games have too.  City conceded first in both their home #UCL games so far this season. Ronaldo has scored 15 in last 13 #UCL games & 4 in last 6 v City.

Recommended bets

1/2 pt Double Anderlecht v Milan Draw, Dynamo v PSG Draw 11.4 @bet365 -1/2 pt

1/2 pt Madrid/Man City (HT/FT) 29.0 @Sportingbet -1/2 pt

1/2 pt Porto 1-0 (Correct Score) 8.0 @bet365 -1/2 pt

1/2 pt Quad Anderlecht v Milan Draw, Dynamo v PSG Draw, Madrid/Man City (HT/FT), Porto 1-0 (Correct Score) 2196.0 @bluesq -1/2 pt

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Posted on November 21, 2012, in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink. Leave a comment.

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